Per Saul Hansell at the NYT, Time Warner has abandoned the AOL-joint venture concept (sell a piece to Microsoft, Google, or Comcast) and is now just trying to cut a better deal on its search economics with one of these two parties. It is also apparently still considering spinning out a piece of AOL in an IPO.
Joint ventures are usually a disaster, so no loss there. The trouble with AOL remaining within Time Warner, however--or, worse, with selling a stake to the public--is that AOL will be forced to continue to focus on short-term timeframes (quarters and years) at the expense of the long-term. I think the company needs to make several strategic moves, such as cutting deals with broadband providers, that will consume near-term cash flow but will allow the company to survive the transition from dial-up. These moves will likely be more difficult to make as a public company or division of Time Warner.
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Posted by: Network | December 15, 2010 at 07:38 AM